Skip to Main Content

TRENDS Lower CN, Down 10, SN, Down 5, WN, Down 11

May 31, 2019 07:21 AM

HIGHLIGHTS

  • TRENDS—Lower: CN, $.0525; SN, -$.04; WN, -$.0725; KWN, -$.0450 
  • What caught my eye: 2 things . . .(1) It has been a while . . . the last time that nearby corn traded above $4.49 ¼ was back on June 30, 2014.  And (2) Mexican tariffs?  The country takes about 25% of U.S. corn/7-10% of U.S. beans; Brazil, ain’t that far away
  • Another trade war?  All Mexican imports to be taxed at 5%--immigration issues.  Asia: Lower--Nikkei, -1.63%; Shanghai, -0.24%; Hang Seng, -0.79%. EUROPE: Higher—DAX, -1.92%; FTSE, -1.10%; CAC, -1.59%.  WALL STREET—Futures are not higher--DOW, -282; S&P, -34; NAS, -109.  EXTERNALS: July crude: -$1.16 @ $55.42; Gold:  +$11.30 @ $1,304$ Index-.140 @ 98.002
  • T-storm Weather: A cool front triggers scattered showers and some thunderstorms within / near much of the Corn Belt from tonight through Sat. night, especially from IA-MO east through IL, IN, and OH where 0.20” to 0.70” falls.  Much of the Corn Belt will be dry Sun.-Mon. as surface-level high pressure passes, while a sharp temperature gradient forms in the Plains and helps several thunderstorm clusters to erupt from NE south
  • CN, down $.0525 @ $4.31; CU, down $.0525 @ $4.40.  The funds were active buyers with an estimated 40 K total            
  • SN, dn $.04 @ $8.85; SQ, down $.0375 @ $8.9175.  Funds: Bot-- 20 SB, 10 SBM, 1 SBO.  Board Crush: $1.37, +2; LY, $1.49
  • WN, dn $.0725 @ $5.0725; WU, dn $.0750 @ $5.1475.  The funds were buyers yesterday, 15 K     

CORN/SORGHUM

·       Export Sales to be released at 7:30 am CDT.  Trade expects 14-26 mbu for 18/19 corn

  • T-storm Weather: Scattered thunderstorms form in southeast two-thirds of central U.S. June 4-5 forward.  Heavy rain  is probable next week in at least part of central & southern Plains; completely dry weather is unlikely in MN, SD & ND

·       Ethanol grind: Total of 1,057,000 barrels/day for week end May 24—dn 14 thou v. prior week but up 1.5% v. last year

  • USDA is scheduled to conduct its survey during the first two weeks of June for theAcreage report (release date June 28).  It’s possible a follow-up survey on actual plantings could then be done for the August Supply/Demand report

SOYBEANS/WHEAT

·       Export Sales report.  Trade expects 9-17 mbu for 18/19 soybeans; soymeal, 100-250 K MT; soyoil, 8-22 K MT 

  • T-storm Weather: Scattered thunderstorms form in southeast two-thirds of central U.S. June 4-5 forward.  Heavy rain  is probable next week in at least part of central & southern Plains; completely dry weather is unlikely in MN, SD & ND

·       Consultant: Argentina soybean crop est. is unch at 56.0 MMT; neutral to maybe slightly higher bias.  Harvest at 85%

·       Export Sales report.  Trade expects 2-9 mbu for 18/19 all wheat and 6-13 mbu for 19/20

  • T-storm Weather: Heavy thunderstorms occasionally affect HRW wheat from Nebraska south starting this weekend 

ENERGY

·       Lower: CLN19+$1.16 @ $55.42; EBN, -$1.97 @ $64.90; EBN-QCLN-.82; RBN, -.0352; NGN, +.017HON, -.0320

·       Chicago ethanol was $.03875 higher at $1.51375; basis values were again all firmer: New York, +$.01625 @ $.14125; Gulf, +$.00125 @ $.09125; Dallas, +$.00625 @ $.07125; Tampa, +$.01625 @ $.19125; LA, +$.01125 @ $.24625  

·       Ethanol RINs were mixed:  2018’s, unch @ 9 ½ -10; 2019’s, -.125 @ 13 ½ -14                                                     &​nbsp;                 

· ​;      The June RBOB/June ethanol spread snapped in, giving up $.1166 to close at+$.3586/gal

LIVESTOCK/POULTRY               &n​bsp;                       

  • Choice boxed beef firmed a nickel on Thursday to $223.58 and is $2.79 higher compared to a week ago  
  • August live cattle futures on Thu. closed at $105.50—the lowest settlement price for the contract since May 16, 2018

·       USDA mandatory pork carcass cutout value plummeted $2.37 on Thu. to $80.69 and is $1.26 lower versus last week

·       CME Lean Hog Index eased $0.34 on Thu. to $82.22.  June futures were $1.525 lower but are $1.455 above the index

Sources: Bloomberg, Dow Jones, AP, DTN, T-storm Weather

 



The information contained in this e-mail is subject to a disclaimer. Please follow the link below to view. http://www.advance-trading.com/#!disclaimer/c16dt
...

[Message clipped]  View entire message
 
 
 
 
 
2 Attachments
 
 
 
 
​  
 
 
 
 
 

Back

 

936 South Moore Road, Rochelle, IL 61068
(815) 562 - 8723 | Fax: (815) 562 - 7543 | Privacy Policy

facebook twitter 100px-Instagram_logo_2016.svg LinkedIn

© Maplehurst Farms. All Rights Reserved. Disclaimer | View Mobile Site
The risk of loss in trading commodity futures contracts can be substantial.
You should, therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources.

Market, News and Weather information provided by

image001

 

close (X)