Skip to Main Content

TRENDS Mostly firm CN, Up 2, SN, Up 7, WN, Down 1

May 8, 2020 07:11 AM

HIGHLIGHTS

·       TRENDS—Mostly firm:  CN, +$.01; SN, +$.05; WN, -$.0150; KWN, -$.0125.  Dely: SBM, 0; BO, 56; RR, 50; C, 0; HRW, 0

·       What caught my eye: Confirmation of both old and new crop corn sales to China was the big news item of yesterday.  Trade ideas seem to think China will eventually buy 3-4 MMT of corn from the U.S. for 20-21 and perhaps another 1 MMT for this year

·       All the major global equity markets are higher this morning .  Asia: Higher-- Nikkei, +2.56%; Shanghai, +0.83%; Hang Seng, +1.04%; EUROPE: Higher—DAX, +0.94%; FTSE, +1.40%; CAC, +0.97%.  WALL STREET: Futures, Up--DOW, +263; S&P, +32.75; NAS, +93.5.   EXTERNALS: June crude, +$0.72 @ $24.27Gold: +$6.80 $1,733; Sep $ Index, -0.181 @ 99.76

·       T-storm Weather®: hard frosts & freezes occur within northern & eastern areas of the Corn Belt & Plains through Sunday morning.  A milder period starts Monday in OK & TX, triggering some thunderstorms.  Warmer & muggier air then spread northward as next week progresses, causing thunderstorms to frequently erupt & turn much of the central U.S. wet over May 11-20, especially in the Corn Belt, Delta, & central & southern Plains, including some key corn, soybean, HRW wheat, & SRW wheat areas

  • CN, up $.01 @ $3.19; CU, up $.01 @ $3.2425.  The funds bought 5 K on Thursday China was in for both old and new crop corn         
  • SN, up $.05 @ $8.4925; SQ, up $.0475 @ $8.4975.  Funds bot 5 K SB, 0 K SBM, 4 K SBO.  Board crush: $0.78 (N/N), -8; LY, $1.14
  • WN, dn $.0150 @ $5.21; WU, dn $.02 @ $5.2350.  The funds bought 4 K yesterday, freeze worries            

CORN/SORGHUM

·  &​nbsp;    T-storm Weather®: for corn, unseasonable coolness continues through Tue. as highs hold in the 50s-60s & lows dip to the 30s-40s, including freezes in: 1) the Dakotas & MN Fri. & Sun., & 2) IN, MI, OH, WI, & the northeast half of IL Sat.

·       U.S. corn export sales of 30.5 mbu for 19/20 delivery for week ending April 30 were down 43% from last week and 36% versus the 4-week avg.  However, unshipped export sales of 528 mbu are up 30% versus 407 mbu last year

·       T-storm Weather®: in Brazil, mainly dry weather continues on corn until scattered thunderstorms affect southern areas Tue.-Wed. and produce 0.75” to 1.50”, as a slow-moving cool front passes

·       Consultant: in Argentina, corn yields should continue to decline as the harvest moves into the later planted corn

 

SOYBEANS/WHEAT

·      &nbs​p;T-storm Weather®: for beans, unseasonable coolness continues through Tue. as highs hold in 50s-60s & lows dip to the 30s-40s, including freezes in: 1) the Dakotas & MN Fri. & Sun., & 2) IN, MI, OH, WI, & the northeast half of IL Sat.

·       U.S. soybean export sales of 24.0 mbu for 19/20 delivery for week ending April 30 were down 39% from last week but up 19% versus the 4-week avg.  Unshipped export sales of 203 mbu are down 54% versus 445 mbu last year

·       Unshipped 19/20 U.S. HRW wheat export sales for the week ending April 30 were 52 mbu, down 28% vs. last year

·       T-storm Weather®: For U.S. HRW wheat, several days of very cool and dry weather develop starting today, but minimums stay above freezing on headed wheat

ENERGY

·       Mixed: CLM20, +$0.72 @ $24.27EBN, +$0.41 @ $29.87; EBN-QCLN, -$0.37; RBM, -.0002; NGM, -.015; HOM, +.0154

·       Chicago ethanol was $.03875 firmer at $1.08625/gallon; basis, higher:  NYC, +$.01625 @ +$.07875; Gulf, +$.01125 @ $.08375; Dallas, +$.00125 @ +$.10375; Tampa, +$.00125 @ +$.21375; LA, +$.00625 @ +$.21875

·       Ethanol RINs values, unch/down: 2018’s, +0.25 @ 24-25 ½; 2019’s, +.625 @ 33 ¼ -34; 2020’s: +.8750 @ 36 ¾ -38 ½                                                    &nbs​p;                        ​;                         ​;                        ​       

·       The June RBOB/June ethanol inverse lost $.0285 yesterday to close at $.1496/gallon, premium ethanol     

LIVESTOCK/POULTRY              &nbs​p;                        

  • Choice boxed beef was up $9.36 on Thursday to $458.54, and is $90.98 higher compared to last week
  • Scattered cash cattle trade developed on Thu. in the North at mostly steady money, while the South was dead quiet
  • The mandatory pork carcass cutout value increased $1.53 on Thu. to $115.61, & is $16.58 higher vs. a week ago
  • CME Lean Hog Index firmed $3.84 on Thu. to $66.22.  May futures were $0.700 higher and are $2.58 above the index

Sources: Bloomberg, Dow Jones, AP, DTN, T-storm Weather®

 



The risk of trading futures and options can be substantial. All information, publications, and material used and distributed by Advance Trading Inc. shall be construed as a solicitation. ATI does not maintain an independent research department as defined in CFTC Regulation 1.71. Information obtained from third-party sources is believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed by Advance Trading Inc. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
...

[Message clipped]  View entire message
 
 
 
 
2 Attachments
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Back

 

936 South Moore Road, Rochelle, IL 61068
(815) 562 - 8723 | Fax: (815) 562 - 7543 | Privacy Policy

facebook twitter 100px-Instagram_logo_2016.svg LinkedIn

© Maplehurst Farms. All Rights Reserved. Disclaimer | View Mobile Site
The risk of loss in trading commodity futures contracts can be substantial.
You should, therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources.

Market, News and Weather information provided by

image001

 

close (X)