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Market Trend Corn, Down 2 to 3, Soybeans, Down 1, Wheat, Mixed.

March 6, 2015 07:10 AM

HIGHLIGHTS

·         Market Trend: Corn, Down 2-3; Soybeans, Down 1; Wheat, Mixed.

·         Asia closed mixed:  an upward revision in the ECB’s growth forecast/caution ahead of U.S. employment #’s.  The Nikkei gained 1.17%; the Hang Seng made a new high before settling .12% lower and Shanghai was down .22%.  Europe is trading mixed—Britain’s FTSE is off .14%; the DAX is .07% higher and the CAC 40, up .05%.  U.S. stock futures seek direction—DOW, off 9; NAS, +2 ½ and the S&P, 1 lower. Feb employment expected to show a 240 K gain, down from 257 in January. Gold, down 20 cents; $ Index, up 1/3rd of a point to 96.765; energy futures are higher

·         A few showers could be seen in eastern areas of Mato Grosso, Brazil today-Saturday.  There is also a possibility for light to moderate rainfall Sunday and Monday.  Soybean harvest and second-crop corn planting cold be delayed is significant rainfall amounts are realized.  Temperatures are forecast to be near normal.  Scattered showers may be seen in Parana today-Saturday, while drier weather may be seen in Rio Grande do Sul.  Near to below normal temperatures are forecast for southern Brazil.  Mostly dry weather is forecast for Argentina today-Saturday with warming temperatures

·         Mar Corn Down $.0275 at $3.80; May Down $.03 at $3.8750.   Dely:  202.  The funds were even in  Thursday trade 

·         Mar SB Down $.01 at $9.7825; May Down $.0050 at $9.85. Dely: 98 SB, 50 SBO.  Funds sold 5 K SB; 3 K SBM & 5 KSBO

·         Mar Wheat Up $.01 at $4.8225; May Down $.0025 at $4.8025.  Dely: 279 HRW, 66 SRW.  Funds sold 6 K yesterday

CORN/SORGHUM                  ​;                        ​                        &​nbsp;                       &n​bsp;                       &nb​sp;                      

·         U.S. corn export sales of 32.6 mbu for the week ending Feb. 26 were up 16% vs. last week but 5% below the 4-week average.  Outstanding sales are 659 mbu vs. 756 mil last year

·         Year-to-date total export sales commitments of sorghum are 300 mbu, or 100% of the USDA forecast.  This sets the stage for a possible 10-20 mbu increase in the annual forecast in Tuesday’sUSDA Supply/Demand report

·         Corn planting is proceeding in Texas.  As of March 1, 4% was planted state-wide compared to 7% for the 5-year avg.

SOYBEANS/WHEAT

·         U.S. soybean export sales of 18.4 mbu for the week ending Feb. 26 were up 9% vs. last week but 8% below the 4-week average.  Outstanding sales are 231 mbu vs. 257 mil last year

·         November 2015 soybean futures closed at $9.66 Thursday, the lowest settlement price for the contract since Feb. 12

·         CBT March 2015 wheat futures traded $4.81 Thurs., which is only a penny above contract low of $4.80 set Sept. 25

·         Outstanding U.S. wheat export sales as of Feb. 26: 186 mbu vs. 206 mil last year

·         USDA pegging Oklahoma 2015 wheat crop conditions at 42% Good/Excellent compared to 41% one month ago

ENERGY

·         Futures are higher:  QCLJ15, +$0.15 at $50.91; QRBJ, +0.0087; QNGJ, $.008; and QHOJ, +$.0162

·         A mixed trend was seen in cash ethanol markets on Thursday: Chicago down 1; Gulf off 1 ¼; New York slipped 1 ½; Dallas up 4; Tampa added 5 ½; and LA was 2 ½ higher at $1.70 ½ per gallon

·         RINs unchanged to higher: 2013’s up 1 to 70-72; 2014’s steady at 70 ½-72 ½; and 2015’s unchanged at 70 ½-71 ½

·         The April RBOB/April Ethanol spread tugged in 5+ cents to $.3753 per gallon on Thursday

LIVESTOCK/POULTRY                     &n​bsp;                       &nb​sp;             

·         Choice boxed beef values were up $0.62 on Thursday and are $2.17 higher vs. a week ago

·         Dressed steer weights for week end Feb. 21: 880 lbs—down 1 pound vs. last week but 14 pounds heavier vs. last year

·         The USDA mandatory pork carcass cutout value was $1.60 lower on Thursday and is down $0.71 vs. last week

·         CME Lean Hog Index gained $0.36 at $68.09.  April futures down $1.175 to $66.825 and is $1.265 below the index

Sources: Bloomberg, Dow Jones, AP, DTN Ag Weather

 



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