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Market Trend Corn, CN Down 1, Soybeans, SN up 4, WN, Up 3; KWN, Up

June 22, 2015 07:27 AM

HIGHLIGHTS

·         Market Trend: Corn, CN Down 1 ¾; Soybeans, SN up 4 ¾; WN, Up 3; KWN, Up 2 ¾     

·         Chinese financial markets are closed today for a national holiday.  The Nikkei closed up 1.1% and the Hang Seng, 1.2%.   Europe is h higher after Greece offers a new set of possible solutions to its financial crises.  Both the DAX and CAC 40 are up over 32.5% at mid-way and the FTSE has so far posted a 1.25% gain.   U.S. futures have a definite positive bias in the pre-markets:   DOW futures are 139 points to the plus side; the S&P is 17 higher and the NAS is nearly 35 higher. 

·         T-storm Weather: A heat wave started across the southwest half to two-thirds of the central U.S. this weekend.  Strong thunderstorm clusters form along the edge of the high as a ring of fire setup occurs, resulting in widespread coverage of near- and above-average totals from the northern Plains through the Corn Belt.  The setup breaks around Friday as a large system in southeast Canada sends cooler air southward, resulting in a several-day period of coolness leading into July, which briefly produces a round or two of seasonably-scattered thunderstorms in the central / southern Plains and Delta within June 26-30

·         July Corn Dn $.0175 at $3.5150; Sep Down $.02 at $3.5675.  The funds sold 6 K Friday

·         July SB Up $.0475 at $9.7625; Aug Up $.02 at $9.5725.  The funds:  sold 1 K SB; 3 K SBM while buying 4 K SBO

·         July Wheat Up $.03 at $4.9150;  Sep Up $.0375 at $4.9625.  The funds bought 1 K to close out the week    

CORN/SORGHUM                                     ​;                        ​                        &​nbsp;                       &n​bsp;                        &n​bsp;  

·         USDA Crop Progress: Good/Excellent crop condition ratings for corn could be down 1 point vs. last week’s 73%. Ratings for the same week last year were 74%

·         Export Inspections released at 10 AM CDT; Corn, 45.1 needed; 43.3 last week.  Milo—5.2 needed; 0.4 last week

·         December 2015 corn futures closed at $3.68 ¾ ½ Friday; one year ago, December 2014 corn futures settled at $4.47 ½

·         USDA Crop Progress: U.S. sorghum planting progress est. at 80% vs. approx. 86% last year & 89% for the 5-year avg.

·         Commitment of Traders report: Non-Commercial long corn futures only positions decrease 5,505 contracts

SOYBEANS/WHEAT

·         USDA Crop Progress: Good/Excellent crop ratings for soybeans could be down 1-2 points vs. last week’s 67% and below last year’s 72%

·         Export Inspections released at 10 AM CDT; Soybeans, 6.2 needed; 8.3 last week

·         Commitment of Traders report: Non-Commercial long soybean futures only positions increase 13,034 contracts

·         USDA Crop Progress: U.S. winter wheat harvest est. at 20-25% vs. approx. 31% last year and 31% for the 5-year avg.

·         Export Inspections released at 10 AM CST; Wheat, 18.1 needed; 13.9 last week

ENERGY

·         Mixed: CLN15, +$0.47, $60.08; EBQ, +0.57; EBQ-CLQ, +3.09, +$.04, RBN, -$.0046; NGN, -$.083; HON, +$.0102

·         A mixed tone was seen in cash ethanol markets on Friday: Chicago up 7/8; New York gained 2; Gulf added 1 ½; Tampa was steady; Dallas climbed ½; and LA was 1 lower at $1.58 ½ per gallon

·         RINs were lower for 2013, 2014 and 2015 with declines of 2 ¼ noted.  All were quoted at 44-45

·         The July RBOB/July Ethanol spread narrowed $.0635/per gallon on Friday to $.5836

LIVESTOCK/POULTRY               ​;                         ​;                   ​

·         Choice boxed beef values were 49-cents higher on Friday at $251.32 and are up $5.60 vs. a week ago

·         Cattle On Feed: On feed, 100.6% (100.9% avg. guess); Placed in May, 89.8% (91.4%); Marketed in May, 91.7% (91.6%)

·         On Friday, USDA mandatory pork carcass cutout declined $1.47 and at $81.64, is $2.33 compared to last week

·         CME Lean Hog Index down $0.31 to $79.80.  July futures were down $2.275 at $75.75 and are $4.05 below the index

Sources: Bloomberg, Dow Jones, AP, T-storm Weather

 



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