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Corn, Up 2 to 3, Soybeans, 1 to 18 Higher, Wheat, Up 6

July 24, 2014 07:04 AM

HIGHLIGHTS

·         Market Trend:   Corn, Up 2-3;  Soybeans, 1-18+ Higher; Wheat,  Up 6

·         Little in the way of news this morning.  Overseas markets are mostly higher.  In Asia, the Hang Seng and Shanghai performed well, up .71% and 1.28% respectively.  The Nikkei eased .29%.  Europe is higher at mid-day—the FTSE, +.06%; the DAX is .45% to the plus side and the CAC 40, up .76%.  Futures in the U.S. point to a positive start Dow, +23; S&P, +2.25 and the NAS, +10.25 as 2nd quarter earnings exceed expectations—S&P companies are on pace to achieve a 5.6% growth, above pre-report ideas of 4.9%.  Energy futures are mixed; gold is 4.90/oz weaker at $1,299.80 and the $ Index is .045 lower at 80.87

·         T-Storm Weather: Warm and cool air collide through the weekend, resulting in areas of thunderstorms. Beneficial rain occurs in some areas, but higher coverage would be ideal; the highest chance for organized rainfall is from eastern Iowa through Illinois and Indiana.  A sharply cooler pattern follows for next week, keeping maximums mostly in the 70s with minimums in the 50s. Coolness limits humidity levels, and henceforth rainfall, meaning only a few showers are expected next week

·         Sep Corn Up $.0275 at $3.6525; December Up $.0250 at $3.7325.  The funds bought 3 K yesterday as beans lifted the market

·         August SB Up $.1850 at $12.1950; Sep Up $.1475 at $11.1650. Funds bought 6 K SB; 4 K SBM and 3 K SBO

·         Sep Wheat Up $.0625 at $5.37; December Up $.0550 at $5.60.  The funds bought 2 K yesterday

CORN/SORGHUM

·         Export Sales to be released at 7:30 AM CDT.  Trade expects 12 to 20mbu old-crop corn, 16-24 new-crop

·         T-storm Weather: July has been drier than average with Corn Belt receiving 83% of its average rain.  That said, only 12% of corn received less than 2.00” the last 30 days and deep subsoil profiles stay moist regardless of future rainfall

·         ATI Research: Rainfall in Bloomington, IL from June 23-July 22 totaled 7.74” compared to the avg. total of 4.04”

·         Ethanol grind: 959 thou barrels per day for the week ending July 18—up 16 thou vs. last week and 12.4% vs. last year

SOYBEANS/WHEAT

·         Export Sales: 6 to 9mbu old-crop soy, 44-53 new ; soymeal, 50-150 K MT old, 150-250 new; soyoil, 0-20 old,  0-10 new

·         T-storm Weather: 61% and 27% of U.S. soybean production is drier than average at the topsoil and subsoil level, which is 25 and 20 points higher than on July 15

·         Export Sales: Trade expects 13-20mbu for all wheat

·         Chicago September wheat futures made a new contract low of $5.20 ¼ on Wednesday

·         Winter wheat harvest in Michigan remains very sluggish at 19% complete compared to the 5-year average of 61%

ENERGY

·         Futures are mixed: QCLU14, -$.34 at $102.78; QRBU, -$0.0047; QNGU, +$.002; and QHOUQ, +$.0023

·         Cash ethanol markets were mostly steady to slightly higher on Wednesday: Chicago and New York added ½; Gulf and Dallas were unchanged; Tampa eased 4 ½; and LA was up 1 to $2.32 ½ per gallon

·         RINs were steady: 2012’s unch at 51 ½-52; 2013’s stable at 51 ½-52; and 2014’s were unch at 51 ½-52

·         The August RBOB/August ethanol spread snugged in further, almost 4 cents to $.7511 per gallon

LIVESTOCK/POULTRY                         &​nbsp;                       &n​bsp;         

·        &​nbsp;After setting a record high on Tuesday, Choice boxed beef values eased 21-cents yesterday

·         The USDA pork carcass cutout value fell $2.23 yesterday and has declined $5.97 over the last three days

·         CME Lean Hog Index down $0.53 to $132.04.  August future down $3.00 to $124.575 and are $7.465 below the index

·         Broiler egg set last week was up 2.6% from last year and average set over the last four weeks is 1.2% above last year

Sources: Bloomberg, Dow Jones, AP, T-storm Weather

 

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