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MARKET TREND Mostly higher CN, steady to 1 higher, SN, up 4, WN, up 6

June 16, 2017 07:03 AM

HIGHLIGHTS

·       MARKET TREND—Mostly higher:  CN, steady to $.0025 weaker; SN, up $.03; WN, up $.0425; KWN, up $.06 

·       MACRO—BOJ leaves liberal monetary policy intact, Yen weakens versus $, boosts Asian markets.   ASIA—Mostly higher:  Nikkei, +0.56%; Shanghai, -0.31%;  Hang Seng, +0.24%.   EUROPE—Greece strikes deal with EU creditors, higher: DAX, +0.33%; FTSE, +0.66%; CAC, +0.69%. Wall Street-Happy Friday, futures suggest a higher opening: DOW, +227;  S&P, +3.25; NAS, +14.27.  EXTERNALS: Sep $ Index, -.077 @ 97.075; June Gold, +$2.60 @ $1,255; Aug Crude, +$0.25 @ $44.93

·       T-storm Weather: The central U.S. will be divided by heat to the southwest & coolness to the northeast over the next 7-10 days, causing the jet stream to flow overhead.  Waves of energy flow along the jet stream to trigger thunderstorms in varying areas at varying times, especially through Sat.-Sun. in/near the Corn Belt, then again around Tue., & most likely at least one more time after that.  Areas of significant rain result, especially in the Corn Belt and with eastward extent, but less-so from Nebraska south

·       Corn: CN down $.0025 @ $3.7925; CZ down $.0050 @ $3.9725.  The funds were buyers Thursday, a total of 6 K

·       SB: SN up $.03 @ $9.3775; SX up $.02 @ $9.46.  Funds: Bot 4 SB, 6 SBO, even SBM.  Board Crush: $.87, +2; LY; $0.83

·       Wheat: WN up $.0425 @ $4.58; WU up $.0475 @ $4.7375.  The funds bought 6 K yesterday       

 

CORN/SORGHUM

·       ATI Research: Combined unshipped export sales of U.S. old-crop and new-crop corn currently stand at 524 mbu, which is down 26% from this time a year ago

·       T-storm Weather: Beyond the next 7-10 days, a notably warmer to hot period likely begins around June 25 and continues through the end of the month.  Some thunderstorms are likely, especially in northern or eastern areas

·       U.S. old-crop corn export sales week end June 8: 23.6 mbu, up 72% from last week and 25% from the 4-week avg.

·       USDA this week completed surveying producers in preparation for its Acreage report—scheduled for releaseJune 30

SOYBEANS/WHEAT

·       ATI Research: Combined unshipped export sales of U.S. old-crop and new-crop soybeans currently stand at 382 mbu, which is down 11% from this time a year ago

·       T-storm Weather: Topsoil dryness for U.S. soybeans has diminished slightly after recent rain, but remains elevated

·       U.S. old-crop soybean export sales week end June 8: 12.5 mbu vs. only 5.8 last week but down 15% v. the 4-week avg.

·       T-storm Weather: After rain the last week across Northern Plains, the proportion of U.S. spring wheat that was drier than normal at the topsoil & subsoil levels diminished by 60 & 50 points, now including only 29% & 34% of production

·       Export sales of U.S. wheat week end June 8: 13.7 mbu, down from 16.9 last week and well below last year’s 28.0

ENERGY

·       Higher: CLQ17, +$0.25 @ $44.93; EBQ, +$0.36 @ $47.28; EBQ-QCLQ, +.09; RBQ, +.0179; NGQ, -.013; HOQ, +.0128

·       Cash ethanol markets were mostly firmer on Thursday: Chicago added 2 1/8; New York increased 1 ¾; Gulf climbed 2 ½; Tampa down 2; Dallas fell ½; but LA was 1 ½ higher at $1.71 per gallon

·       Ethanol RINs were higher on Thursday: 2016’s and 2017’s firmed ½ to 76-78 

·       The July RBOB/July ethanol inverse widened further, $.021 cents, to -$.13730/gallon

  LIVESTOCK/POULTRY                 &nb​sp;                   

&mid​dot;       Choice boxed beef values fell $1.29 on Thursday to $249.74 , and are 65-cents lower compared to a week ago

·       Scattered cash cattle sales occurred in Kansas on Thursday at $128, which was another $2 lower

·       USDA mandatory pork carcass cutout value declined 36-cents on Thu. to $94.23, but is still $2.36 higher vs. last week

·       CME Lean Hog Index was $0.83 higher on Thu. at $82.93.  July futures fell $0.525 and are now $0.88 below the index

Sources: Bloomberg, Dow Jones, AP, DTN, T-storm Weather

 



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