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Market Trend Corn, Up 1, Soybeans, 3 to 4 Higher, Wheat, 1 to 2 Higher.

October 23, 2014 07:54 AM

HIGHLIGHTS

·         Market Trend:   Corn, Up 1; Soybeans, 3-4 Higher; Wheat, 1-2 Higher.    Europe:  Wheat, +2 ½; Corn, up 3 ¼               

·       ​;  A rise in China’s October PMI to a 3-month high of 50.4 was offset by a 5-month low in factory output, pushing Shanghai nearly a full point lower with both the Nikkei and Hang Seng, .3-.4% weaker. Europe trading has been on both sides; currently the DAX and CAC are .30-.45% higher; the FTSE, off .39%. Wall Street seems to have taken Asian and European PMI’s in a favorable light ahead of today’s jobless claims release.  DOW futures, +41; NAS, +10.50; S&P, +5.25 in pre-market trading. $ Index, slightly weaker; gold, off $6.20 and energy futures are mixed

·         T-Storm Weather: A few thunderstorms dot the western U.S. Corn Belt and adjacent areas of the Plains today, but only scattered 0.20” – 0.50” amounts are expected.   Otherwise, dry and seasonable weather continue through at least Sunday.  Another round of thunderstorms follows for the Corn Belt around Monday-Tuesday, but the point is that most areas stay drier than average through 7-10 days for corn / soybean harvesting and wheat planting.  Warmest weather occurs in the central / southern Plains where maximums occasionally reach the 80s

·         Dec Corn Up $.0075 at $3.5375; March Up $.0075 at $3.6775.   The funds sold 2 K at mid-week    

·         Nov SB Up $.0150 at $9.6425; Jan Up $.0125 at $9.71.  Funds: bought 2 K SB, 2 K SBM along with 4 K SBO  

·         Dec Wheat Up $.0150 at $5.24; March Up $.0150 at $5.3750.  The funds bought 4 K yesterday 

CORN/SORGHUM                                   &nb​sp;                       &nbs​p;                        ​;   

·         Export Sales to be released at 7:30 AM CDT.  Trade expects 31 to 39mbu corn 

·         T-storm Weather: Unseasonable dryness in Brazil is limiting early corn planting.  Mainly dry weather continues through the weekend in most areas, though a few thunderstorms gradually return to the Center-West region

·         Ethanol grind: 896 thou barrels per day for week end Oct. 17—up 11 thou vs. last week but down up 0.1% vs. last year

·         December 2014 corn futures closed at $3.53 Wed.; one year ago, December 2013 corn contract closed at $4.38 ¼

SOYBEANS/WHEAT

·         Export Sales to be released at 7:30 AM CDT.  Trade expects soybeans, 29 to 37mbu; soymeal, 150-250; soyoil, 10-50

·         T-storm Weather: Humidity increases across Center-West Brazil within Friday-Sunday, helping widely scattered thunderstorms to form, though organized rainfall is only likely in western soybean areas of Mato Grosso

·         Nov. 2014 soybean futures closed at $9.62 ¾ Wed.; one year ago, the Nov. 2013 soybean contract closed at $13.02 ¼

·         Export Sales to be released at 7:30 AM CDT.  Trade expects 13-18mbu for all wheat

·         Some wheat producing areas of Western Australia have had more than 300% of the normal amount of rainfall during the month of October.  Crop loss as a result of flooding and hail is reported to have occurred

ENERGY

·         Futures are mixed:   QCLZ14,+$0.23 at $80.74; QRBZ,+$0.0045; QNGZ, -$.024; and QHOZ,-$.0018

·         Cash ethanol markets were mostly higher on Wednesday: Chicago slipped  ½; Gulf up ½; Tampa jumped 8; Dallas gained 8 ½; New York added ¼; and LA was 8 ½ higher at $2.01 per gallon

·         RINs slightly weaker: 2013’s off ½ at 46-46 ½; 2014’s down 3/8 at 46-47; and 2015’s eased ½ to 46-46 ½

·         The November RBOB/Ethanol spread continues to narrow in, losing nearly 6 ½ cents to $.3796/gallon

LIVESTOCK/POULTRY                                ​                        &​nbsp;  

·      ​   At $251.00, choice boxed beef values were $1.16 higher Wednesday and are up 51-cents compared to one week ago

·         October live cattle futures closed Wednesday at $168.05, which is the highest closing price for the contract

·         The USDA pork carcass cutout value has lost $15.86 over the last five trading days after declining $2.65 Wednesday

·         CME Lean Hog Index down $1.28 to $104.17.  December futures up $1.30 to $89.75 and are $14.42 below the index

Sources: Bloomberg, Dow Jones, AP, T-storm Weather

 

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