Skip to Main Content

MARKET TREND Mostly firmer CZ, Up 1, SF, Down 4, WZ, Up 3

November 12, 2018 07:10 AM

HIGHLIGHTS

  • MARKET TREND—Mostly firmer: CZ, +$.01; SF, -$.0325; WZ, +$.0225; KWZ, +$.0050 
  • MACRO:  Stocks waver as Saudis say they will slash oil output & OPEC members call for a collective production cut. Asia: Lightly higher --Nikkei, +0.09%; Shanghai, +1.22%; Hang Seng, +0.12%.  EUROPE: Mostly lower--DAX, -0.65%; FTSE, +0.10%; CAC, -0.21%.  WALL STREET: Futures are slightly firmer: DOW, -3; S&P, +2.25; NAS, +22.50. EXTERNALS: Dec crude: +$0.28 @ $60.47; Dec Gold: -$1.50 @ $1,207;Dec $ Index+0.506 @ 97.240. Del’y: SB, 249  11/13

·      T-storm Weather: Heavy to very heavy rainfall of 2.25" to 4.50" fully breaks dryness and drought across Argentina through Tue.-Wed. as a large, slow, and strong system passes.  Planting stops in this period, and a typical mix of weather follows with neither ideally-dry nor problematically-wet weather most likely.  In Brazil, thunderstorms affect northern areas on most of the next 10 days, producing heavy totals of 3.00" to 6.00" within a key first-crop corn and soybean swath

·      CZ, up $.01 @ $3.7075; CH, up $.0050 @ $3.8175.  Fund selling estimated at 10 K on Friday     

  • SF, dn $.0325 @ $8.8350; SH, dn $.0375 @ $8.9625.  Funds: bot 4 SB; even SBM, sold 5 K SBO.  Board Crush: $0.95, -14, LY: $.95
  • WZ, up $.0525 @ $5.0425; WH, up $.0250 @ $5.1475.  The funds sold 7 K to close out the week       

CORN/SORGHUM

·      ATI Research: The 5-year average increase in U.S. corn harvest from Nov. 4-11 is 10%; the largest gain since 2009 is 14% in 2014

·      T-storm Weather: Dry weather aids corn planting in southern Brazil until a cool front passes Tue.-Thu. and triggers thunderstorms, followed by additional rain later next week as a stormy open to the growing season continues

·      Consultant: Full-season corn planting in southern Brazil is winding down in some areas; crop rated good to very good

·      Export Inspections released at 10 am CST; Corn, 47.9 mbu needed; 49.4 last week.  Milo—2.2 needed; 0.9 last week

SOYBEANS/WHEAT

·      ATI Research: The 5-year average increase in U.S. soybean harvest from Nov. 4-11 is 4%; the largest gain since 2009 is 6% in 2014

·      T-storm Weather: Dry weather aids soybean planting in southern Brazil until a cool front passes Tue.-Thu. and triggers thunderstorms, followed by additional rain in the week as a stormy open to the growing season continues

·      Export Inspections released at 10 am CST; Soybeans, 36.9 mbu needed; 45.2 last week

·      Export Inspections released at 10 am CST; Wheat, 23.2 mbu needed; 12.0 last week

·      ATI Research: Strong bias that the Australia wheat crop estimate will decline from the USDA’s 17.5 MMT projection

ENERGY

·      Higher: CLZ18+$0.28 @ $60.47; EBF, +$1.01 @ $71.19; EBF-QCLF,+$0.70; RBZ, +0.0137; NGZ, +.075HOZ, +.0044

·      Chicago ethanol eased $.01250 to $1.23375; basis levels vs Chicago, lower—New York, -.01 @ $.12875; Gulf, -.00250 @ $.13625; Dallas, -.00250 @ $.06625; Tampa, -.00250 @ $.19625 and LA, -.00750 @ $.14125     

·      Ethanol RINs were steady: 2017’s, unch @ 6-7; 2018’s, unch @ 7 ¾ -8; 2019’s, unch @ 11 ¾ -12                     

​ ·      The Dec RBOB/Dec ethanol spread narrowed $.00890 on Friday to+$.3664 per gallon

 LIVESTOCK/POULTRY                &n​bsp;                      

  • Choice boxed beef was 87-cents lower on Friday at $215.20 and is down $2.43 compared to last week 
  • Light-to-moderate cash cattle trade developed on Fri. in the South at $114 to $115—about $2 lower than last week
  • USDA mandatory pork carcass cutout value declined $1.21 on Friday to $68.70 and is $5.05 lower vs. a week ago  
  • CME Lean Hog Index fell $0.61 on Fri. to $62.77.  December futures firmed $0.175 but are $6.97 below the index 

Source: Bloomberg, Dow Jones, AP, DTN, T-storm- Weather

 



The information contained in this e-mail is subject to a disclaimer. Please follow the link below to view. http://www.advance-trading.com/#!disclaimer/c16dt
...

[Message clipped]  View entire message
 
 
 
 
2 Attachments
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Back

 

936 South Moore Road, Rochelle, IL 61068
(815) 562 - 8723 | Fax: (815) 562 - 7543 | Privacy Policy

facebook twitter 100px-Instagram_logo_2016.svg LinkedIn

© Maplehurst Farms. All Rights Reserved. Disclaimer | View Mobile Site
The risk of loss in trading commodity futures contracts can be substantial.
You should, therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources.

Market, News and Weather information provided by

image001

 

close (X)