Skip to Main Content

MARKET TREND Lower CN, Down 4, SN, Down 4, WN, Down 8

June 14, 2018 07:09 AM

HIGHLIGHTS

  • MARKET TREND—Lower: CN, -$.0325; SN, -$.0225; WN, -$.06; KWN, -$.0650
  • MACRO:  Fed ratchets up rate a ¼% to 2%; says it will increase short term values 2 more times this year; is more optimistic on economic growth—“sustained expansion”-- and inflation expectations.  Asia—Lower: Nikkei, -0.99%; Shanghai, -0.17%; Hang Seng, -0.93%.  EUROPE: Lower: DAX, -0.31%; FTSE, -0.56%; CAC, -0.25%.  WALL STREET: Futures are slightly negative: DOW, -5; S&P, -0.25; NAS,-10.75.  EXTERNALS: July crude: +$0.18 @ $66.27; Aug Gold: +$7.80 @ $1,309; Dec $ Index-.344 @ 92.53

·       T-storm Weather: A few thunderstorms affect the central U.S. through Friday as a very warm to hot period begins; best thunderstorm chances within the western half of the central U.S., including North Dakota today.  Better-organized rainfall of 0.50" to 1.50" follows Sat.-Sun. in the northwest third of the central U.S. as a couple waves of energy ride the edge of heat, followed by similar amounts across the rest of the central U.S. over Mon.-Wed. as a cool front passes

·       CN, dn $.0325 @ $3.7275; CU, dn $.0325 @ $3.8225.  Fund selling at mid-week: 5 K                

  • SN, dn $.0225 @ $9.3375; SQ, dn $.0225 @ $9.3950.  Funds: sold 10 SB, 8 SBM; 0 SBO.  Board Crush: $1.60 , +$.06; LY: $.85
  • WN, dn $.06 @ $5.1050; WU, dn $.0575 @ $5.27.  Overdone to the upside Tuesday, funds sell 10 K              

          CORN/SORGHUM

·       Export Sales to be released at 7:30 am CDT.  Trade expects 24-35 mbu for 17/18 corn

  • T-storm Weather: An expansive upper-level high is forecast to develop starting June 22-23, generating a warmer & drier period for U.S. corn.  Confidence is only moderate because thunderstorms have a history of forming in this setup
  • Ethanol grind: Total of 1,053,000 barrels/day for week end June 8—up 12 thou v. prior week & up 5.1% v. last year

·       Consultant: Argentina corn production estimate is unchanged this week at 32.0 MMT with a neutral to lower bias goring forward.  Harvest advanced 3% last week to 40% complete

SOYBEANS/WHEAT

·       Export Sales report.  Trade expects 4-15 mbu for 17/18 soybeans; soymeal, 50-250 K MT; soyoil, 5-20 K MT 

·       Consultant: Argentina soybean production estimate is unchanged at 36.0 MMT.  Harvest is at 92.5% complete 

·       T-storm Weather: Mainly dry weather accompanies heat over next 3-5 days across U.S. soybean areas.  Thereafter, the gradual transition to seasonably-cooler weather triggers rain within northwest third of central U.S. Sat.-Sun.

·       Export Sales report.  Trade expects 6-17 mbu for 18/19 all wheat

  • T-storm Weather: Much drier-than-normal conditions are forecast over the next 7-10 days for the southern ~50% of Russia’s winter wheat belt.  Seasonable to mild temperatures are projected for the same region

ENERGY

·       Weaker: CLN18+$.18 @ $66.82; EBQ, -$.11 @ $76.63; EBQ-QCLQ, -$0.21RBN,-.0174NGN, -.025HON, -.0157

·       On Wednesday, cash ethanol markets were higher: Chicago was quoted at $1.42125, up $0.00125; Basis to Chicago—New York, +$0.12375; Gulf, +$0.08875; Dallas, +$0.12375; Tampa, +$0.23875; and LA, +$0.27875 

·       Ethanol RINs were firmer on Wednesday: 2017’s up 1 to 16-19; and 2018’s increased 1 ¾ to 23-26

·       The July RBOB/July ethanol spread gained $.0423 on Wednesday to close at+$.6882/gallon

  LIVESTOCK/POULTRY                                &nb​sp;    

  • Choice boxed beef values fell $1.02 on Wednesday to $223.90 and are down $3.07 compared to a week ago 
  • Since May 14, choice boxed beef has declined $8.22 (3.5%) and is at the lowest level sinceApril 27
  • USDA mandatory pork carcass cutout value firmed 43-cents on Wed. to $80.82 and is up $3.77 vs. last week
  • CME Lean Hog Index gained $1.53 on Wed. to $78.71.  June futures were $0.475 higher & are $2.29 above the index

Sources: Bloomberg, Dow Jones, AP, DTN, T-storm Weather

               

 



The information contained in this e-mail is subject to a disclaimer. Please follow the link below to view. http://www.advance-trading.com/#!disclaimer/c16dt

 

Back

 

936 South Moore Road, Rochelle, IL 61068
(815) 562 - 8723 | Fax: (815) 562 - 7543 | Privacy Policy

facebook twitter 100px-Instagram_logo_2016.svg LinkedIn

© Maplehurst Farms. All Rights Reserved. Disclaimer | View Mobile Site
The risk of loss in trading commodity futures contracts can be substantial.
You should, therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources.

Market, News and Weather information provided by

image001

 

close (X)