Skip to Main Content

MARKET TREND Firmer CU, Up 2,SU, Up 4, WU, Up 4

August 30, 2018 07:06 AM

HIGHLIGHTS

  • MARKET TREND—Firmer:  CU, +$.02; SU, +$.0375; WU, +$.0625; KWU, +$.0425
  • MACRO:  Markets are generally lower with reasons being cited include difficulties in the EU/Brexit negotiatons; sanctions on Iran reducing world oil supplies.  Asia—Mostly weaker: Nikkei, +0.09%; Shanghai, -1.14%; Hang Seng, -0.89%.  EUROPE:  Lower:  DAX, -1.06%; FTSE, -0.69%; CAC, -0.48%.  WALL STREET: Futures are lower:DOW, -98; S&P, -7.50; NAS, -19.50.  EXTERNALS: Oct crude: +$0.25 @ $69.76; Dec Gold: -$3.00 @ $1,209; Dec $ Index+0.023 @ 94.120

·       T-storm Weather: Cool and hot air continually battle for position across the central U.S. over the next 10 to 14 days.  The fluctuating locations of each air mass cause small-scale waves of energy and large-scale storm systems to spin-up and trigger thunderstorms in varying areas each day, resulting in 2.00" to 4.00" within the northwest two-thirds of the Corn Belt, and 1.00" to 2.00" elsewhere (including a mix of all corn and soybeans, and most HRW wheat and SRW wheat areas)

·      CU, up $.020 @ $3.4325; CZ, up $.0175 @ $3.5820.  The funds were even in mid-week trading          

  • SU, up $.0375 @ $8.27; SX, up $.0375 @ $8.3975.  Funds: bot 1 SB, 1 SBM, sold 2 SBO.  Board Crush: $1.50, -1, LY: $.98
  • WU, up $.0625 @ $5.22; WZ, up $.0450 @ $5.4625  Funds bought 10 K as rumors of Russian exports limitations re-surface           

 CORN/SORGHUM

·      Export Sales to be released at 7:30 am CDT.  Trade expects 4 to 12 mbu for 17/18 corn; 24-39 for 18/19

·      T-storm Weather: Starting in 10 days or so, heat across U.S. Corn Belt is likely to diminish because mid-Sep. is climatologically cooler than late Aug., but some rains are expected to continue as cool fronts to pass every few days

·      Consultant: Harvest of Brazil’s 2017/18 safrinha (double crop) corn is approx. 90% complete with the last remaining large areas to harvest being the state of Parana.  Planting of 2018/19 full-season corn is underway in southern Brazil  

·      Ethanol grind: 1,070,000 barrels/day for week end Aug. 24—down 0.3% vs. last week but 2.7% higher vs. last year

SOYBEANS/WHEAT

·      Export Sales report.  Trade expects 0 to 9 mbu for 17/18 soybeans; 18-37 for 18/19; soymeal, 50-350 K MT for 17/18 and 200-400 for 18/19; soyoil, 0-15 K MT for 17/18 and 0-20 for 18/19 

·      T-storm Weather: The potential for field flooding will be monitored in the Corn Belt going forward after heavy rain this week in IA, IL, MO, WI and parts of MN

·      Export sales report: Trade expects 7-18 mbu for 18/19 all wheat

·      T-storm Weather: While some showers affect Australia wheat over the next 5-7 days, drought remains moderate to severe to intense away from Western Australia

ENERGY

·      Mixed: CLV18+$0.25 @ $69.76; EBV, +$0.30 @ $77.44; EBV-QCLV+$0.04; RBV, +0.0074; NGV, +.019HOV, +.0051

·      On Wednesday, cash ethanol markets were weaker: Chicago was quoted at $1.2750, down $0.02625; Basis to Chicago—New York, +$0.082; Gulf, +$0.085; Dallas, +$0.02; Tampa, +$0.155; and LA, +$0.225

·      Ethanol RINs were steady to higher on Wednesday: 2017’s unchanged at 14 ½-15; but 2018’s firmed 1/8 to 20 ¼-20 ¾

·      The September RBOB/September ethanol spread surged wider on Wednesday, expanding $.0693 to $.8480/gallon  

 LIVESTOCK/POULTRY                             &nbs​p;         

  • Choice boxed beef values firmed 15-cents on Wednesday to $212.68 but is still $1.36 lower vs. a week ago
  • October 2018 live cattle futures on Wed. closed at $108.70; one year ago, October 2017 futures settled at $106.125
  • USDA mandatory pork carcass cutout value fell 41-cents on Wednesday to $63.48 and is down $1.57 vs. last week 
  • CME Lean Hog Index fell $0.64 on Wed. to $46.45.  October futures eased $0.45 but are still $5.10 above the index 

Sources: Bloomberg, Dow Jones, AP, DTN, T-storm Weather

 



The information contained in this e-mail is subject to a disclaimer. Please follow the link below to view. http://www.advance-trading.com/#!disclaimer/c16dt

 

Back

 

936 South Moore Road, Rochelle, IL 61068
(815) 562 - 8723 | Fax: (815) 562 - 7543 | Privacy Policy

facebook twitter 100px-Instagram_logo_2016.svg LinkedIn

© Maplehurst Farms. All Rights Reserved. Disclaimer | View Mobile Site
The risk of loss in trading commodity futures contracts can be substantial.
You should, therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources.

Market, News and Weather information provided by

image001

 

close (X)