Skip to Main Content

MARKET TREND Mixed CU down 1, SU up 3, WU up 3

August 16, 2017 07:04 AM

HIGHLIGHTS

·       MARKET TREND—Mixed: CU: down $.0025; SU: up $.0075; WU: up $.0150; KWU: up $.03

·       MACRO: Trading was higher in Europe & U.S. futures suggest a positive start as markets await the release of the Federal Reserve minutes.  ASIA—Mostly weaker: Nikkei,-0.12%; Shanghai, -0.14%; Hang Seng, +0.86. EUROPE: Higher: DAX, +0.85%; FTSE, +0.65%; CAC, +1.13%.   WALL STREET—Futures are again higher—DOW, +50; S&P, +6.00;NAS, +19.00.  EXTERNALS:  $ Index+.154 @ 93.910; SepGold-$3.20 @ $1,272 Oct crude: +$.26 @ $47.96/bl.

·        T-storm Weather: A strong system produces widespread rainfall across most corn and soybean (and eastern spring wheat) areas through Thursday, especially: 1) today in the western Corn Belt, 2) tonight further into the Corn Belt, then 3) Thursday across the southeast Corn Belt and Delta; 0.75" to 1.50" most common across the northwest two-thirds of corn and soybeans, and 0.50" to 1.00" across the southeast third.  A seasonable to slightly-warm period is probable to last into at least late-month

·       CU, down $.0025 @ $3.55; CZ, down $.0050 @ $3.68.  The funds were heavy sellers, 25 K on Tuesday             

·       SU, up $.0075 @ $9.2250; SX, up $.0050 @ $9.2450.  Funds: sold 10 SB, 5 SBM, 8 SBO.  Board crush: $.89, +1; LY, $.84

·       WU, up $.0150 @ $4.31; WZ, up $.0175 @ $4.5775.  Fund selling totaled 8 K yesterday                    

CORN/SORGHUM

·&n​bsp;      T-storm Weather: While some additional rainfall isforecast to trail this week’s strong system across U.S. corn areas on Friday--Saturday, only isolated to widely-scattered thunderstorms are expected

·       ATI Research: Although the export model is suggesting U.S. corn exports over the up-coming 4-week period to be in the 41-46 mbu range, bias is in the high 20s

·       Consultant: Brazil corn crop est. is increased 2.0 MMT to 97.0 MMT; Argentina production is raised 1.0 MMT to 40.0

·       Ethanol margins: $0.31 per gallon—up vs. $0.25 last week but below $0.43 in 2016.  EIA report at 9:30 am CDT

SOYBEANS/WHEAT

·       ATI Research: Bias on near-term U.S. soybean exports is in the 25-30 mbu/week range

·       T-storm Weather: Some waves of energy are probable to produce some thunderstorms within key soybean areas of the central U.S next week; generalized rain totals of 0.50" to 1.00" are probable for now, especially in the Corn Belt

·       Chicago September 2017 wheat futures closed at $4.29 ½ Tue.—the lowest settlement price for life of the contract

·       T-storm Weather: Slightly unfavorable weather for Australia wheat next 7-10 days as dryness persists in some areas

·       ATI Research: Bias on near-term U.S. all wheat exports is in the 20-25 mbu/week range

ENERGY

·       Firmer: CLV17+$0.26 @ $47.96; EBV+$0.36 @ $51.16;EBV-QCLV+.12; RBU+.0075; NGU-.032; HOU, +.0073

·       EIA Report Estimates (API): crude oil, -3.0 (-9.2); Gasoline, -1.0 (+0.3); Distillates, -0.2 (-2.1)

·       Cash ethanol markets weakened yesterday:  both the Gulf & LA were $.03 lower at $1.63 and $1.74/gallon; Tampa was off 2 ½; NY edged down 1 ¾; Dallas dropped 1 ½ and Chicago was indicated $.0260 weaker at $1.5525/gallon

·       Ethanol RINs gained 5/8’s of a cent and were in a $.9150-$.9300 range

·       The Sep RBOB/Sep ethanol spread reverted to a carry, gaining $.0252 to +$.02850/gallon, premium RBOB 

  LIVESTOCK/POULTRY                         ​;            

·      &nbs​p;Choice boxed beef values increased 3-cents on Tuesdayto $198.95, but are $3.30 lower compared to a week ago

·       Choice boxed beef values have posted a week-to-week decline for 43 consecutive trading days

·       USDA mandatory pork carcass cutout value fell 11-centson Tuesday to $93.48, and is down $1.20 vs. last week 

·       CME Lean Hog Index declined $0.40 Tue. to $84.38.  October futures firmed $1.35, but are $13.855 below the index

Sources: Bloomberg, Dow Jones, AP, DTN, T-storm Weather

 



The information contained in this e-mail is subject to a disclaimer. Please follow the link below to view. http://www.advance-trading.com/#!disclaimer/c16dt

 

Back

 

936 South Moore Road, Rochelle, IL 61068
(815) 562 - 8723 | Fax: (815) 562 - 7543 | Privacy Policy

facebook twitter 100px-Instagram_logo_2016.svg LinkedIn

© Maplehurst Farms. All Rights Reserved. Disclaimer | View Mobile Site
The risk of loss in trading commodity futures contracts can be substantial.
You should, therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources.

Market, News and Weather information provided by

image001

 

close (X)