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MARKET TREND Higher CZ up 3, SX up 11, WZ up 7

September 5, 2017 07:21 AM

HIGHLIGHTS

·       MARKET TREND—Higher: CZ: up $.0225 ; SX: up $.09; WZ: up $.05;  KWZU: up $.0375

·       MACRO: World markets are wary of escalating tensions with Noth Korea as the seriousness of that situation is increasing. ASIA—Mixed:  Nikkei, -0.63%; Shanghai, +0.16%; Hang Seng, -0%.  EUROPE: Higher: DAX,+0.76%; FTSE, +0.11%; CAC, +0.20%.   WALL STREET—Futures are weaker—DOW, -50; S&P, -6.50; NAS, -11.50EXTERNALS:  $ Index-.164 @ 92.365; Sep Gold+$7.80 @ $1,332 Oct crude: +$.51 @ $47.80/bl.  Deliveries: SBM, 196; SBO, 451; C, 724; HRW, 196; RR, 80

·       T-storm Weather: Most of the U.S. Plains and northwest two-thirds of the Corn Belt receive little to no rain over the next 10 days as a large area of upper-level high pressure to the west blocks storm systems from passing.  Temps will be much cooler than normal by ~10 F over the next five days as maximums in the 60s-70s coincide with minimums in the 40s-50s; light frost cannot be ruled out in the northern third of the Corn Belt and Plains through Thu., but most corn & soybeans will be warmer than mid-30s

·       CZ, up $.0225 @ $3.5750; CH, up $.02 @ $3.69.  The funds closed out the week selling 3 K                 

·       SX, up $.09 @ $9.5850; SF, up $.0875 @ $9.68.  Funds: Bot 4 SB, sold 2 SBM, bot 5BO.  Board crush: $.90, -3; LY, $.89

·       WZ, up $.05 @ $4.4375; WH, up $.0475 @ $4.6475.  Wheat buying was estimated at 5 K on Friday                        

CORN/SORGHUM

·       December 2017 corn futures on Friday closed at $3.55 ¼; one year ago, December 2016 futures settled at $3.28 ½

·       Consultant: USDA Crop Progress report—U.S. Corn Good/Excellent est. at 61-63% v. 62% last week and 74% last year 

·       ATI Research: Crop Progress—The 5-year average for U.S. corn mature increases approximately 8% from Aug. 27-Sep. 3 to 18%  

·       T-storm Weather: Path of Hurricane Irma to fluctuate until its location & a dissipating cool front are clearer Wed/Thu

·       Export Inspections released at 10 am CDT; Corn, 16.9 mbu needed; 31.7 last week.  Milo—(7.7) needed; 4.0 last week

SOYBEANS/WHEAT

·       Consultant: USDA Crop Progress report—U.S. Soybean Good/Excellent est. at 60-62% v. 61% last week & 73% last year 

·       ATI Research: Crop Progress—The 5-year avg. for U.S. soybeans dropping leaves increases approx. 8% from Aug. 27-Sep. 3 to 13%

·       T-storm Weather: A total of 41% and 33% of U.S. soybean production were drier than normal over the last 14- and 30-day periods, primarily from limited rainfall in eastern IA and points east

·       Export Inspections released at 10 am CDT; Wheat, 17.5 mbu needed; 24.6 last week

·       ATI Research: 5-year avg. for U.S. spring wheat harvest progress increases approx. 12% from Aug. 27-Sept. 3 to 78%

ENERGY

·       Weaker: CLV17+$0.51 @ $47.80; EBX+$0.05 @ $52.39; EBX-QCLX-.28; RBV-.0672; NGV-.0340; HOV, -.0295

·       Cash ethanol were slightly weaker in most markets on Friday: Chicago off ¼; New York down 1; Gulf, Tampa and Dallas eased ½; but LA was a penny higher at $1.70 ½ per gallon

·       Ethanol RINs were higher on Friday: 2016’s and 2017’s increased 1 ½ to 85 ½-86 ½ 

·       The Oct RBOB/Sep ethanol spread closed at+$.19190/gallon on Friday

  LIVESTOCK/POULTRY              &n​bsp;                      

·       Choice boxed beef values eased 56-cents higher on Friday to $191.35, but are up 3-cents compared to last week

·       October live cattle futures on Friday closed at $105.15—the lowest settlement price for the contract since March 17

·       USDA mandatory pork carcass cutout firmed 6-cents on Friday to $83.74, but is $2.21 lower vs. a week ago

·       CME Lean Hog Index was $1.13 lower on Fri. at $72.39.  October futures gained $0.05 but are $10.94 below the index

Sources: Bloomberg, Dow Jones, AP, DTN, T-storm Weather

 



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