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MARKET TREND Firmer CN, up 1, SN, up 4, WN, up 1

June 1, 2017 08:08 AM

HIGHLIGHTS

·       MARKET TREND—Firmer: CN, up $.01; SN, up $.0150; WN, up $.0075; KWN, up $.0175

·       MACRO—Foreign equity markets are mostly higher, following yesterday’s modest decline on Wall Street.  ASIA—Mostly higher:  Nikkei, +1.07%; Shanghai, -0.50%;  Hang Seng, +0.58%.   EUROPE—Higher: DAX, +0.33%; FTSE, +0.40%; CAC, +0.64%. Wall Street-Futures are mostly higher:  DOW, -4;  S&P, +1.25; NAS, +9.75.  EXTERNALS: Sep $ Index, +.211 @ 96.86; June Gold, -6.40 @ $1,266; Aug Crude, +$.17 @ $48.73

·       T-storm Weather: Coolness temporarily breaks today-Fri. as 2-3 days of mildness unfold.  A few thunderstorms dot the Corn Belt today & Fri. as warmth expands, but well-organized rainfall is not expected.  Better-organized rain follows Sat.-Mon., especially across the southeast half of the Corn Belt, including some of the wettest areas where scattered 0.50"-1.00" amounts occur.  Rain chances are lower to the north & west, including the spring wheat belt where only light totals are now expected

·       Corn: CN up $.01 @ $3.73; CZ up $.01 @ $3.92.  The funds bought 6 K at mid-week     

·       SB: SN up $.0150 @ $9.1775; SX up $.0325 @ $9.2150.   Funds: bot 2 SB, 1 SBM, sold 1 SBO.  Board Crush: $.85, -3; LY; $1.32

·       Wheat: up $.0075 @ $4.30; WU up $.0075 @ $4.4450.   The funds bought 1 K on Wednesday

CORN/SORGHUM

·       ATI Research: The 5-year avg. for U.S. corn planting progress increases approx. 4% from May 28-June 4 to 97%

·       T-storm Weather: With the exception of northern (& western) Plains where above-normal temps generally continue, another cool period is forecast for most U.S. corn next week.  Most areas will be dry except central & southern Plains

·       Consultant: Harvest of safrinha (double crop) corn in Mato Grosso, Brazil should accelerate with dry weather forecast

·       Updated NWS forecast for June: Below-normal temps for southern Midwest, above-normal rain in eastern Corn Belt

·       Ethanol margins: $0.11 per gallon—up vs. $0.09 last week but below $0.41 in 2016.  EIA report at 10:00 am CDT

SOYBEANS/WHEAT

·       ATI Research: The 5-year avg. for U.S. soybean planting progress increases approx. 11% from May 28-June 4 to 79%

·       Consultant: Brazil soybean crop estimate is unchanged at 111.0 MMT with a neutral to slightly higher bias

·       T-storm Weather: A notably milder period is forecast for U.S. soybeans June 11-15.  Some rain accompanies warming

·       ATI Research: 5-year avg. for U.S. spring wheat emergence increases approx. 11% from May 28-June 4 to 85%

·       T-storm Weather: Only light rain now expected for U.S. spring wheat this weekend, marking a considerable reduction from the previous forecast.  Spring wheat will need rain if thunderstorms next week expectedly stay to the south 

ENERGY

·       Firmer: CLQ17, +$.179 @ $48.73; EBQ, +$.09 @ $50.85;EBQ-QCLQ, +.10; RBQ,+.0093; NGQ, +.029; HOQ, +.0026

·       EIA Report Estimates (API): crude oil, -2.5 (-8.7); Gasoline, -1.1 (-1.7); Distillates, -0.3 (+0.1)

·       A firmer tone was evident in cash ethanol markets on Wednesday: Chicago increased 2 ¼; New York added 2 ½; Gulf climbed 1 ¼; Tampa up ½; Dallas gained 1; and LA was ½ higher at $1.72 per gallon

·       Ethanol RINs posted minor gains on Wednesday: 2016’s and 2017’s were ¼ higher at 73-74 

·       The June RBOB/June ethanol spread tugged in $.0514 on Wednesday to +$.07250/gallon, premium RBOB

  LIVESTOCK/POULTRY                              &n​bsp;      

·       Choice boxed beef values firmed 29-cents on Wednesdayto $245.54 , but are still down 54-cents vs. last week

·       Cash cattle asking prices in the South are pegged at $134 to $135, but trading has remained extremely quiet this week

·       USDA mandatory pork carcass cutout value was 29-cents higher on Wed. at $89.82, and is up 92-cents vs. a week ago

·       CME Lean Hog Index gained $0.08 on Wed. to $76.53.  June futures firmed $1.425 and are $5.395 above the index

Sources: Bloomberg, Dow Jones, AP, DTN, T-storm Weather

 



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