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MARKET TREND CZ, Up 1, SF, Up 1, WZ, Down 4, KWZ, Up

November 30, 2015 07:08 AM

HIGHLIGHTS

·         MARKET TREND:  CZ, Up $.01; SF, Up $.0075; WZ, Down $.0425; KWZ, Up $.0275

·         Global equity markets are mixed.  Shanghai ended up .27%.  The Nikkei fell .69% and the Hang Seng lost .33%.  Europe finds the FTSE unchanged; the DAX is 1.08% higher and the CAC 40, up .78%.  Wall  Street looks higher on the opening:  futures have the DOW up 23; the S&P, 2.25 higher and the NAS, 11.75 to the plus side. Pending home sales and the Chicago PMI are due for release today.  Externals:  Jan WTI is up $.27 @ $41.98; gold is 40 cents cheaper, $1,0655.80 & the $ Index, up ¼ at 100.315

·         T-storm Weather: Areas of heavy rain over the last several days expectedly affected Argentina, southern Brazil, and Paraguay, ultimately keeping much of these areas wetter than normal since November 1 — especially within swaths of South Brazil.  The remnant of a cool front helps scattered thunderstorms to form within much of Brazil and Paraguay over the next 10 days, ultimately resulting in near-normal rainfall of 2.00” to 4.00” over the period. 

·         CZ, Up $.01 @ $3.6025; CH, Up $.0025 @ $3.6725.  The funds sold 10 K on Friday. Deliveries, 0 corn

·         SF, Up $.0075 @ $8.7375; SH, Up $.0025 @ $8.7575.  The funds sold 1 K SB; 3 K SBM, 0 SBO. Del’y: 0 SB, 0 SBM, 910 SBO

·         WZ, Down $.0425 @ $4.6150; WH, Down $.00745 @ $4.7825.  The funds sold 5 K Friday. Del’y: 198 HRW; 2,343 SRW 

CORN/SORGHUM                                      &nb​sp;                       &nbs​p;                        ​;                        ​                         ​ 

·         ATI Research: U.S. corn export sales for 15/16 were a marketing year high of 80.2 mbu for week end Nov. 19.  With U.S. corn now the cheapest origin for such key markets as the Far East, a sharp up-turn in sales was to be expected

·         December 2015 corn futures closed at $3.59 ¼ Fri.; one year ago, the December 2014 contract settled at $3.75 ¾

·         Export Inspections released at 10 AM CST; Corn, 38.7 needed; 19.5 last week; Sorghum, 5.6 needed; 8.3 last week

·         T-storm Weather: Much of Argentina remains cool with below-normal rainfall of 0.50” and less over the next 7 to 10 days.  Drying is viewed as favorable for corn planting and growth through at least the first full week of December

SOYBEANS/WHEAT

·         U.S. soybean export sales for 15/16 for the week end Nov. 19 were 43.1 mbu.  That’s down 35% from the previous week and 18% from the prior 4-week average

·         Export Inspections released at 10 AM CST; Soybeans, 26.3 needed; 68.1 last week

·         USDA Crop Progress: U.S. winter wheat emergence for week ending Nov. 29 is projected at 94-96% vs. 95% avg.

·         Export Inspections released at 10 AM CST; Wheat, 16.1 needed; 10.0 last week

·         T-storm Weather: A notably drier and seasonable to mild pattern begins by Tuesday across central U.S. wheat

ENERGY

·         Firmer:  CLF16, +$0.27, $41.98; EBF, +$0.49; EBF-CLF, $3.37, +$.22; RBF, +$.0026; NGF, +$.014; HOF, +$.0204

·         No report on Friday.  On Wednesday, cash ethanol markets were mixed: Chicago firmed 1/8; New York off 1; Gulf added 1; Tampa eased ½; Dallas was unchanged; and LA was 1 lower at $1.60 ½ per gallon

·         No report on Friday.  On Wednesday, ethanol RINs were lower: 2014’s down ¼ at 41 -43; 2015’s off 5/8 at 40 ½-42; and 2016’s declined 3/8 to 41-43

·         The Dec RBOB/Dec Ethanol inverse lost a little over ¾ of cent, closing at -$.0805/gallon Friday     

LIVESTOCK/POULTRY                               ​                        &​nbsp;   

·  ​       Choice boxed beef increased 31-cents on Friday and are $1.26 higher than last week

·         Dressed steer weight for week end Nov. 14: 925 lb, up 4 pounds v. last week, 924.5 for 4-week avg. & 906 last year

·         On Friday, USDA mandatory pork carcass cutout firmed 67-cents but is 16-cents lower compared to a week ago

·         CME Lean Hog Index gained $0.10 to $55.74.  December futures declined $0.075 but are $2.985 above the index

             Sources: Bloomberg, Dow Jones, AP, T-storm Weather

 



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