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Market Trend Corn, Up 1; Soybeans, 10 to 15 Lower; Wheat, 1-2 Higher

September 16, 2013 07:20 AM

HIGHLIGHTS

·         Market Trend—Corn, Up 1; Soybeans, 10 to 15 Lower; Wheat, 1-2 Higher   

·         Lawrence Summers—not a strong supporter of quantitative easing-- opts out the contention for Federal Reserve head and the markets respond quite positively.  Asian markets had the Hang Seng up 1.5%; the Kospi was 1% higher and some SE Asian markets rose more than 2%. The Nikkei was closed for a holiday.  EU markets are higher in early trading.  U.S. markets are likely to follow suit:  Dow futures are 155 higher; the S&P is showing a 17 ¼ higher start and Nasdaq futures are 31 ¼ to the plus side.   Outside markets show gold up $7.50 per oz; bonds are higher; the energy complex is lower as is the $ Index, down 1/3rd of a point to 81.33 on the December contract    

·         The past 24 hours saw 1/10 to ¼ amounts across E KS, much of MO and the E 1/3rd of IA.  Heavier amounts were observed in S WI of up to 1” in some areas and much of IL received 1/10 to ¼, also heavier north. Areas of rain expectedly affected parts of the Corn Belt over the last two days. T-Storm Weather expects 0.75" - 1.50" amounts for much of the Corn Belt and parts of the central / southern Plains throughFriday.  He also notes that a low to moderate chance for heavy rain exists in the southern Plains and Delta next weekend and into Monday.  Occasional t-storm chances recur next week in the Corn Belt as a mild pattern develops and is expected to cause some delays in corn and soybean harvesting as well as wheat planting but does add moisture to latter soils.

·         Dec Corn Up $.01 at $4.60; Mar Corn Up $.01 at $4.8025. Funds sold 7 K on Friday

·         Nov Soybeans Down $.01550 at $13.66; Jan SB Down $.1425 at $13.6550.  Funds bought 6 K SB and sol 4 K each of SBM and SBO

·         Dec Wheat, Up $.02 at $6.4350; Mar Wheat Up $.0175 at $6.54.  The funds sold an estimated 5 K on Friday   

CORN/SORGHUM

·         U​SDA likely to show a 1-2 point decline in Good/Excellent crop ratings for corn in Crop Progressreport

·         Corn dent for week ending Sept. 15 likely to be 80-85%, which is well below last year’s 96% but near average of 86%

·         Corn mature for week ending Sept. 15 likely to be 20-25%, which is well below last year’s 73% and the average of 41%

·         Export Inspections released at 10 AM; Corn, 23.9 needed; 9.8 last week.  Milo—3.1 needed; 4.8 last week

·         Commitment of Traders report: Non-Commercial long corn futures positions increase 7,234 contracts

SOYBEANS/WHEAT

·         USDA likely to show a 1-2 point decline in Good/Excellent crop ratings for soybeans in Crop Progressreport

·         Soybeans dropping leaves for week end Sept. 15 likely to be 25-30%--well behind last year’s 54% and the 35% avg.

·         Export Inspections released at 10 AM CDT; Soybeans, 26.8 needed; 2.2 last week

·         Commitment of Traders report: Non-Commercial long soybean futures positions decrease 7,719 contracts

·         Export Inspections released at 10 AM CDT; Wheat, 19.1 needed; 31.6 last week

·         Commitment of Traders: CBT Non-Commercial long wheat futures positions decrease 1,394 contracts

ENERGY

·         Energy markets are lower: QCLV13, down $1.47 to $106.74; QRBV, -.0434; QNGV,-$.006 and QHOV, -$.0378

·         Spot ethanol prices were again volatile, and lower: NY was reported 20 cents lower; the Gulf fell 15 ½ and Chicago prices were down an average of 12 ½ cents.  Dallas and LA were 6 ½ and 8 ½ lower, respectively; Tampa was 3 lower

·         RINs: 2012’s were down 2 at 60-62 cents; 2013’s were 1 ¼ lower at 61 ½-53; 2014’s fell 2 cents, to a 62-64 range

·         The Oct RBOB/ethanol spread approached $1 on Friday, again widening 8+ to $.9956/gallon as corn slid further

LIVESTOCK/POULTRY                         &nb​sp;                       &nbs​p;         

·       &nb​sp; Choice boxed beef values fell $1.16 Friday and have lost $1.24 over the last two trading days

·         Cash cattle traded Friday at mostly $123, steady with both Thursday’s light trade and the week before

·         After falling $1.31 on Thursday, the USDA mandatory pork carcass cutout value gained $1.18 Friday

·         The USDA’s Iowa/Minnesota average cash lean hog price gained 88-cents Friday to $95.53

Sources: Bloomberg, Dow Jones, AP, T-storm Weather

 

This data is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be used for specific trading strategies without consulting Advance Trading, Inc. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Past results are no indication of future performance. All information is based upon data that is believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. Please see http://www.advance-trading.com/index.php/disclaimer for full disclaimer
 
 

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