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Market Trend Corn, Down 2 to3, Soybeans, SU, 4 Lower, Wheat, 2 to3 Lower except

September 11, 2014 07:24 AM

HIGHLIGHTS

·         Market Trend:   Corn, Down 2-3;  Soybeans,  SU, 4 Lower; Wheat, 2-3 Lower except WU, +1/4 

·         Hand-wringing over the Fed’s next step on interest rate policy has world equity markets a bit weaker this morning. The Nikkei managed to close up .8% but both the Hang Seng and Shanghai were .2 to .3% lower.  Europe is trading in the red:  FTSE, off.2%; the DAX and CAC 40, also .2% lower.  U.S. markets have the same affliction with Dow futures indicating a lower start, off 38; S&P, 4 ½ lower and the NAS, down 7 ¾. Banks are accelerating the foreclosure process, up 7% from July and raising doubts about the health of the housing sector.  Externals:  gold, -$4.80; $ Index, +.012 @ 84.305 & energy futures are lower

·         T-Storm Weather: Rain exits the eastern Corn Belt and Delta through today as sharply cooler air drops southward.  Frost results in and adjacent the northern Plains and northwest Corn Belt; the coverage of coolness is expected to be the highest for corn and soybeans on Saturday morning due to a lack of cloudiness.  Temperatures moderate from Sunday forward, possibly helping a few thunderstorms form in western corn and soybean areas, but a large-scale rain event is unlikely. Therefore, conditions for harvesting improve.  As of Sunday, 85% of corn was not yet mature, while 88% of soybeans were not dropping leaves, suggesting widespread harvesting should hold until late-month

·         Sep Corn Down $.0275 at $3.36; December Down $.02 at $3.4375.  Del’y: 0 C.  The funds bought 2 K ahead of the report

·         Sep Soybeans Down $.04 at $10.67; Nov Down $.0425 at $9.8950. Del’y: SBO, 53. The funds bought 2 K SB, 1 K SBO, sold 1 K SBM

·         Sep Wheat Up $.0025 at $5.19; December Down $.0375 at $5.16.  Del’y: 0 HRW; 250 SRW. The funds sold 3 K yesterday

CORN/SORGHUM

·         Export Sales to be released at 7:30 AM CDT.  Trade expects 18-26 for corn

·         USDA WASDE at 11:00 CDT: Average trade guess for U.S. corn production: 14/15, 14.276Bbu vs. 14.032 in August

·         USDA WASDE at 11:00 CDT: Average trade guesses for U.S. corn carryout: 13/14, 1.186Bbu; 14/15, 1.995Bbu

·         ATI Research: Corn planted May 1 in Central, IL has 2577 Growing Degree Days, which is 65 below normal

·         Ethanol grind: 927 thou barrels per day for week ending Sept. 5—up 6 thou vs. last week and up 9.3% vs. 2013

SOYBEANS/WHEAT

·         Export Sales: Soybeans, 28-37; soymeal, 0-25 old-crop, 100-200 new-crop; soyoil, -5-20 old, 0-20 new-crop

·         USDA WASDE at 11:00 CDT: Average trade guess for U.S. soybean production: 14/15, 3.894Bbu vs. 3.816 in August  

·         USDA WASDE at 11:00 CDT: Average trade guesses for U.S. soybean carryout: 13/14, 135mbu; 14/15, 461mbu

·         New contract lows made Wed. for December 2014 wheat futures: WZ4 ($5.1925); KWZ4 ($6.15); and MWZ4 ($5.98)

·         Export Sales: Trade expects 9-17mbu for all wheat

·         USDA WASDE at 11:00 CDT: Average trade guess for U.S. all wheat carryout: 14/15, 669mbu

ENERGY

·         Futures are lower: QCLV14, -$1.00 at $90.67; QRBV,-$0.0175; QNGV, -$.003; and QHOV, -$.0225

·         Lower to, in some cases, sharply lower values were seen in cash ethanol markets on Wednesday: Chicago off a dime; Gulf off 5 ½; Dallas down 1 ½; Tampa eased 3; New York slid 8 ½; and LA was 5 ½ lower at $2.21 per gallon

·         RINs were lower: 2012’s off 7/8 to 45 ¾-47; 2013’s down ¾ to 46-47 ½; and 2014’s were 1 ¼ lower at 46-47 ¾

·         The October RBOB/Ethanol spread crept out nearly 2 ¾ cents yesterday, to $.6681/gallon

LIVESTOCK/POULTRY                           &​nbsp;                       &n​bsp;                       &nb​sp;        

·        &n​bsp;Choice boxed beef values firmed 38-cents yesterday after easing 31-cents the day before

·         After increasing $2.78 during the previous two days, the USDA pork carcass cutout value eased 4-cents yesterday

·         CME Lean Hog Index up $1.23 to $99.02.  October futures up $1.325 to $107.10 and are $8.08 above the index

·         Broiler egg set last week was up 3.6% from last year and average set over the last four weeks is 2.0% above last year

Sources: Bloomberg, Dow Jones, AP, T-storm Weather

 

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