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Market Trend Corn, 3-4 Higher; Soybeans, SX, 4 Lower

November 11, 2013 07:37 AM

HIGHLIGHTS

·         Market Trend—Corn, 3-4 Higher; Soybeans, SX, 4 Lower, SF, +3/4;  Wheat, 3+ Higher

·         Asian markets began the week on a mixed note—strong U.S. jobs and growth numbers from Friday reaffirm expectations the Fed will soon begin trimming back its stimulus efforts.  The DAX is flat, Frances’s CAC-40 is up .2% and the FTSE, +.1%.  Futures for U.S. indices are similarly mixed:  S&P, +.50; the Dow, +10 and the Nasdaq, -1.75.  Gold is up .1% at $1,285.90; crude is 26 cents weaker and the Dec $ Index contract is .177 lower at 81.21

·         T-storm Weather notes that a significant precipitation event is not foreseen across the central U.S. for the next several days as conditions for cattle grazing and corn harvesting gradually improve; conditions are particularly wet for corn harvesting in Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, and South Dakota.  Temperatures turn unseasonably cold starting today for a few days as Arctic air slams southward.  Thereafter, large temperature fluctuations occur as Arctic & Pacific air continually battle for position

·         Dec Corn Up $.0350 at $4.3025; Mar Corn Up $.0350 at $4.42

·         Nov SB Down $.04 at $13.02; Jan SB Up $.0075 at $12.9675. 

·         Dec Wheat Up $.0350 at $6.5325; Mar Wheat Up $.0350 at $6.65. 

 

CORN/SORGHUM

·         In observance of Veterans Day, the USDA will be closed today and no regular reports will be sent

·         December 2013 corn futures traded to $4.15 ½ on Friday, the lowest price since July 7, 2010.  However, the contract recovered to close at $4.26 ¾, which was 6 ¼ cents higher on the day

·         Buenos Aires Grains Exchange reports corn planting is 39% complete in Argentina, which is up from 35% last week

·         T-storm Weather: Several days of dry & increasingly warm weather are seen this week for Argentina corn area

·         Commitment of Traders report: Non-Commercial long corn futures positions increase 12,344 contracts

SOYBEANS/WHEAT

·         ATI Research: For now, the U.S. has what is probably unprecedented export demand for both soybeans and soymeal through early spring

·         Buenos Aires Grains Exchange reports soybean planting is 11% complete in Argentina, which is up from 5% last week

·         T-storm Weather: Dry and warm weather across Brazil and Paraguay will be mixed between scattered thunderstorms Monday-Tuesday and again late this week or weekend.  Upcoming weather is viewed as favorable for soybeans

·         Commitment of Traders report: Non-Commercial long soybean futures positions increase 340 contracts

·         Buenos Aires Grains Exchange reports wheat harvest is 4% complete in Argentina

·         T-storm Weather: Despite some rain in Argentina wheat area, a significant slowing of harvest is not expected

·         Commitment of Traders report: Non-Commercial long wheat futures positions decrease 11,218 contracts

ENERGY

·         Energy markets:  crude’s weaker: QCLZ13,-$0.26 at $94.34; QRBZ, +$0.0043; QNGZ, +$.008 andQHOZ, +$.0075

·         Rebound in cash ethanol markets continued on Friday: Chicago was up 3; Gulf gained 3 ¼; Dallas and Tampa were both 2 ¼ higher; NY was up 3 ½; and LA was 2 ½ firmer at $1.98 per gallon

·         RINs were lower: 2012’s down 1 ¼ at 25-27; 2013’s also off 1 ¼ at 26-28; & 2014’s down 1 ½ to 27-29

·         The December RBOB/December ethanol spread tightened 1.13 cents of Friday, to $.8794  

LIVESTOCK/POULTRY                                 &​nbsp;                       &n​bsp; 

·         Cash cattle traded last week at mostly $131, down $1 from the week before

·         Choice boxed beef values fell $1.20 Friday and have declined $2.77 over the last four trading days

·         After gaining $1.05 on Thursday, the USDA pork carcass cutout value fell $2.25 Friday

·         The USDA’s Iowa/Minnesota average cash lean hog price eased 2-cents Friday to $82.12

Sources: Bloomberg, Dow Jones, AP, T-storm Weather

 

This data is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be used for specific trading strategies without consulting Advance Trading, Inc. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Past results are no indication of future performance. All information is based upon data that is believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. Please see http://www.advance-trading.com/index.php/disclaimer for full disclaimer

 

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