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Market Trend Corn, 1 to 2 Lower, Soybeans, 1 to 2 Lower, Wheat, 7 to 9 Lower

March 28, 2014 07:04 AM

HIGHLIGHTS

·         Market Trend:  Corn, 1-2 Lower; Soybeans, ½ to 2 Lower; Wheat, 7-9 Lower

·         Overseas action again is mostly centered on hopes for a Chinese stimulus package.  The Nikkei gained 1/2% despite a drop in February household spending.  The Hang Seng picked up 1.1%; Shanghai was .2% lower. Europe is off to a positive start with each of the 3 major bourses reporting gains of .3 to .5%.  U.S. futures are positive ahead of the opening:  Dow, up 47; S&P, +6 ½ and the Nasdaq, +16 ½. Outside markets have energy futures mostly higher; gold is $1.55 dearer at $1,296.20 and the $ Index is quoted at 80.72, up .160

·         For the U.S. Central/Southern Plains, conditions are forecast to be mostly dry today into the weekend.  Temperatures are projected to be below-normal today, but above- to much-above-normal on Saturday-Sunday.  Mostly dry weather is forecast today through Sunday for western areas of the Midwest.  Near- to below-normal temperatures are likely through Saturday before rebounding to above-normal for Sunday.  For eastern areas of the Midwest, mostly dry weather is forecast today although there is a chance for some mixed precipitation favoring southern areas on Saturday.  Temperatures are projected to be near- to above-normal through the weekend

·         May Corn Down $.0175 at $4.9025; July Down $.0175 at $4.9450.  The funds purchased 6 K on Thursday-strong exports

·         May SB Down $.01 at $14.3550; July Down $.0050 at $14.0650.  The funds were even on SB; 1 K SBM and sold 2 K SBO

·         May Wheat Down $.0875 at $7.0175; July Wheat Down $.0725 at $7.0725.  The Funds bought 6 K on Thursday  

CORN/SORGHUM

·         ATI Research: Old-crop corn export sales were awesome at 55.4mbu, with combined old-new sales of 56.6 sharply above the trade range of 20-30.  The 13/14 total was up 89% from last week and 49% from the prior 4-week average

·         May 2014 corn futures traded to $4.92 ¾ Thursday, which is the highest price since March 13.  If the contract closes above $4.89 today, it would be the highest Friday settlement price since Sept. 6, 2013

·         Anecdotal report of small amount of corn planting taking place this week east of St. Louis in Southern Illinois

SOYBEANS/WHEAT

·         ATI Research: Combined old-new soybean export sales of 20.1mbu (0.4 old, 19.7 new) were near the high end of the trade range of -6 to +22.  Worth noting that China is still buying with purchases totaling 797 thousand bushels

·         May 2014 soybean meal futures posted a new contract high of $475.30 on Thursday

·         ATI Research: Combined old-new wheat export sales of 26.7mbu (14.7 old, 12.0 new) well above trade range of 11-23

·         If May 2014 KC wheat contract closes above $7.71 ¼ today, would be highest Fri. settlement price since June 7, 2013

ENERGY

·         Futures are again mostly higher: QCLK14, +$0.50 at $101.78; QRBK, +$0.0002; QNGK,-$.035 andQHOK, +$.0012

·         Cash ethanol markets were mixed on Thursday: Chicago jumped 18 ½; Gulf climbed 17; NY gained 7 ½; Dallas and Tampa both lost a penny; and LA prices declined 3 ½ to $3.90 ½ per gallon

·         Steady to slightly lower RINs: 2012’s unch at 50-52; 2013’s down ½ to 52-53 ½; and 2014’s lost ½ to 50 ½-51

·         The April RBOB/ethanol spread stays inverted, gains strength to -.0744, up nearly 4 cents per gallon

LIVESTOCK/POULTRY                                &nb​sp;                       &nbs​p;  

·         After rising $1.60 during the previous three days, Choice boxed beef values fell $2.51 yesterday

·         Friday’s USDA Hogs & Pigs report expected to show the first decline in pigs saved per litter since 2001 due to PEDv

·         After rising to another record high on Wednesday, the USDA pork carcass cutout value fell $1.24 yesterday

·         The USDA’s Iowa/Minnesota average cash lean hog price gained $3.03 yesterday to $129.82

Sources: Bloomberg, Dow Jones, AP, T-storm Weather, Global Ag

 

This data is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be used for specific trading strategies without consulting Advance Trading, Inc. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Past results are no indication of future performance. All information is based upon data that is believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. Please see http://www.advance-trading.com/index.php/disclaimer for full disclaimer

 

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