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MARKET TREND CH, Down 1, SF, Up 3, WH, UP 1

December 11, 2015 07:15 AM

HIGHLIGHTS

·         MARKET TREND:  CH, Down $.0075; SF, Up $.0275;  WH, Down $.0175;  KWH, Down $.02250

·         Fed uncertainty; continued weakness in oil; head of largest Chinese non-state owned conglomerate disappears. All are keeping investors side-lined.  DowDupont—new entity from merger.  Asia:  Nikkei closes up .97% while Shanghai and the Hang Seng drop .58% and 1.11%.  Mid-day Europe trade down 1.00-1.50%.  Not-so-happy Friday:  DOW futures off 146; S&P, down 15.50 and the NAS, 38.75 in the red. Externals:  $ Index down ¼ of a point at 97.75; crude’s weaker again; gold, down $6.90 @ $1,065.40

·         T-storm Weather:  A series of potent systems trigger frequent thunderstorm clusters from central Argentina through much of South / Southeast Brazil and Paraguay over the next 10 days; highest totals of 3.00" to 6.00" of rain focus on wettest areas of South Brazil and Paraguay, which is around 150% to 300% of normal and will further one of the wettest November to mid-December periods on record.  Isolated thunderstorms occur in Center-West Brazil through early next week, potentially followed by a seasonably-wetter pattern from aroundWednesday forward as fronts drift further to the north   

·         CZ, Down $.0075 @ $3.7650;  CH, Down $.0075 @ $3.7850.  The funds bought 6  KThursday.  Del’y: 6 Corn

·         SF, Up $.0225 @ $8.8050; SH, Up $.0275 @ $8.84.  Funds:  bought 4 K SB; 2 K SBM; sold 2 K SBO.  Del’y:  112 SBO

·         WZ, Up $.0525 @ $4.8975; WH, Down$.0175  @ $4.9375.  The funds bought 3 K yesterday. Dely’y: 31 SRW, 0 HRW

CORN/SORGHUM                                          &nbs​p;                        ​;                        ​                        &​nbsp;                     <​/wbr>

·         ATI Research: U.S. corn export sales for week end Dec. 3 of 43.1 mbu were the 2nd highest of the crop year, more than double last week’s 19.7 & 11% above prior 4-week avg.  Year-to-date sales still trail last year: 715 mbu vs. 934 (-23%)

·         ATI Research: U.S. sorghum export sales week end Dec. 3 were 4.1 mbu.  That’s down 5% from last week and 45% below the prior 4-week average.  Year-to-date sales: 183 mbu vs. 194 last year (-6%)

·         December 2015 corn futures closed at $3.77 ¼ Thursday—the highest settlement price for the contract since Nov. 4

·         T-storm Weather: Upcoming rain gradually increases wetness for corn in Argentina

SOYBEANS/WHEAT

·         ATI Research: U.S. soybean export sales for the week ending Dec. 3 were 53.4 mbu.  That’s up 66% from last week and is 13% above the prior 4-week average.  Year-to-date sales still trail last year: 1.264 bbu vs. 1.487 last year (-15%)

·         T-storm Weather: A cool front potentially sweeps further north around Dec. 16 to mark the start of a seasonably-wetter pattern for key soybean areas of Center-West Brazil &Bahia with more typical rain of 2.00” over Dec. 16-22

·         ATI Research: U.S. export sales of all wheat for the week ending Dec. 3 were 8.3 mbu.  That’s down 43% from last week and 45% below the prior 4-week average.  Year-to-date sales are 540 mbu vs. 638 last year (-15%)

·         March 2016 CBT wheat futures closed at $4.95 ½ Thurs.—the highest settlement price for the contract since Nov. 23

ENERGY

·         Mostly lower: CLF16, -$0.53, $36.24; EBF, -$0.62; EBF-CLF, $2.88, -$.09; RBF, +$.0096; NGF, -$.028; HOF, -$.0229

·         Cash ethanol markets were steady to slightly firmer on Thursday: Chicago up ¾; New York gained ½; Gulf, Dallas and Tampa added ½; and LA was steady at $1.56 ½ per gallon

·         Ethanol RINs higher: 2014’s up 2 ¾ at 65 -73; 2015’s added 2 ¾ to 64 ½-72; and 2016’s increased 2 ¾ to 64 ½-72

·         The Jan RBOB/Jan Ethanol inverse lost 4 ¾ cents yesterday, and is now at -$.1848/gallon    

LIVESTOCK/POULTRY              &n​bsp;                        &n​bsp;                   

·         Choice boxed beef were unchanged on Thursday but are $1.41 lower vs. last week

·         Dressed steer weight for week end Nov. 28: 923 lbs, dn 2 pounds v. last week, 922.75 for 4-week avg. & 901 last year

·         On Thursday, USDA mandatory pork carcass cutout increased 68-cents but is down 36-cents compared to a week ago

·         CME Lean Hog Index was $0.06 lower at $56.60.  December futures $0.525 lower and are $0.375 below the index

             Sources: Bloomberg, Dow Jones, AP, T-storm Weather

 



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